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Jun 25 - 10:55 PM

AUD/USD - CPI Throws Cold Water On RBA Rate Cut Hopes

By Andrew M Spencer  —  Jun 25 - 10:00 PM
  • Australian CPI surprised on the topside, weighted +4%y/y v's 3.8% expected

  • Data suggest the RBA will probably keep interest rates higher for longer

  • If the upcoming data comes in strong, a rate hike becomes a possibility

  • AUD jumped 25pts on the CPI and is currently up 0.32% at 0.6669

  • TECHS - 5, 10 & 21-day moving averages coil, 21-day Bollinger bands expand

  • Daily momentum studies flat-line - the technical outlook in neutral

  • Today's 0.6636 low then this week's 0.6627 base are initial support

  • Last week's 0.6679 high and then the June 0.6704 top are first resistance

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Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary
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