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Apr 23 - 05:55 AM

EUR/USD - Going Nowhere Fast - BOJ Could Change That

By Jeremy Boulton  —  Apr 23 - 03:55 AM
  • EUR/USD has been trading placidly for past year

  • Vols suppressed with bulk of trading within 1.05-1.10

  • Traders have unwound a $20billion bet on a rise since December

  • Following 2022 intervention EUR/USD soared 0.9528 to 1.1034

  • EUR/USD then staged minor correction reaching 1.0458 - 38.2% 0.9528-1.1034

  • Since trading 2023 low at 1.0448 last Oct pair has done little

  • Should BOJ intervene traders have few bets on a rise when a rise is likely

  • Moves few are prepared for are usually quick and far reaching

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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