eFX Apex
The Institutional-Grade Data Hub
- Plus: Discretionary Trades
- Edge: Sentiment Trades
- Alpha: Systematic Trades
- Apex: Full Big Data Stream
• USD/JPY holding in lower range established Friday, range then 155.25-156.75
• Inside day a possibility in Asia today, so far 155.97-156.30 EBS
• Massive $1.1 bln in option expiries today at 155.75 likely supportive
• Also 155.95-156.00 total $477 mln, some smalls up to 157.00 $501 mln
• USD/JPY now holding below wide, 156.40-157.82 hourly Ichimoku cloud
• Tenkan at 156.13 and kijun just below at 156.05
• IMM CTA increase in JPY shorts before fall last likely added to yen rally
• Japanese exporter likely to continue to sell rallies, importers buy dips
• Interesting twist in JGB-US Treasury interest rate differentials
• Diff in 2s narrow to @250 bps but that in 10s wider to @184 bps
• Could be quiet one in Asia ahead of the London, New York re-opens
• Tokyo likely to be quiet given weather-related transport problems, closures
• Middle East situation a concern, shifting central bank expectations too
• Strong US jobs report seen putting a September Fed hike back on table
• Related comments , , ,
• And , also , on IMM CTAs
• US markets , , ,
• On Middle East , , for more click on [FXBUZ]
USD/JPY:
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)