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Sep 06 - 05:55 PM

RPT - BUZZ-IMM: Specs Look Past USD Strength; Buy CAD, GBP, Yen Amid Soft Fed Rate View

By Paul Spirgel  —  Sep 06 - 04:10 PM

Repeat with no changes

  • USD net G10 short grew by $8.4bn in the Aug 28-Sep 3 IMM period; $IDX +1.14%

  • Fed policy key for moves; -25bp Fed in Sept baked in, -50bp still debated

  • EUR$ -1.24%, specs +7,180 contracts now +100,018 on lwr Fed rate view

  • $JPY +1.09%; specs *15,248 contracts now +41,116 on Fed-BoJ rate convergence

  • GBP -1.07% specs +18,147 contracts, now 108k; Fed-BoE rates widen in 24/25

  • $CAD +0.82%; specs +41,458 contracts, now -68,544; short -65% since Jul 30

  • AUD$ -1.21%; specs +11,295 contracts, -7,864; less dovish RBA attracts AUD buyers

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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