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Sep 06 - 04:55 PM

EUR/USD - COMMENT-US Recap: EUR/USD Sags As Dollar Gains With Havens After Payrolls

By Robert Fullem  —  Sep 06 - 02:50 PM

The dollar, along with other haven currencies, rose Friday as markets pared expectations of an aggressive Fed rate cut in September following the August jobs report and U.S. central banker comments, sending shares and commodity price tumbling.

The dollar index rose about 0.3% with the greenback gaining against most of its G-10 and emerging market peers; the yen briefly posted a one-month low as the risk tone soured.
USD/JPY was on pace for its lowest close since early January.

Nonfarm payrolls rose 142K, below the Reuters median forecast of a 160K, and the July figure was revised down to 89K from 114K.

The unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% while the annual pace of hourly earnings quickened to 3.8%.

New York Fed President John Williams said it is “now appropriate” to be less restrictive though data will determine the future pace of easing.

Fed Gov.
Christopher Waller said he sees a case for front-loading rate cuts if data supports, adding that the current batch of data requires action.
Comments precede U.S. inflation data next week.

Pricing shows a 73% chance the U.S. central bank will lower its 5.25%-5.50% policy range by 25 basis points in two weeks while odds are 27% chance for a 50bps cut, down from 45% pre-NFP.

Canada's unemployment rate edged up to 6.6% in August and a below-consensus 22.1K jobs were added, increasing expectations of additional rate cuts following a 25bp reduction this week.

U.S.
Treasury yields eased about 1-7bp across maturities in a bond rally led by the front end, which steepened the 2s-10s curve nearly 6.36bp, according to LSEG data.

By New York afternoon trade, the S&P 500 had fallen 1.69%.

WTI tumbled 2.27% amid global growth concerns, bringing the weekly loss to about 8%.

Copper fell 1.67% amid broadly lower metals prices.

Gold fell 0.84%, retreating from near-record level reached earlier in the session.

Heading toward the close: EUR/USD -0.24%, USD/JPY -0.74%, GBP/USD -0.36%, AUD/USD -1.03%, DXY +0.21%, EUR/JPY -1.47%, GBP/JPY -1.09%, AUD/JPY -1.75%, USD/CAD +0.42%.

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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