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• USD better bid against other major currencies but USD/JPY down hard
• Move down in Asia PM trading to 159.44 before bouncing to 159.92
• Move down attributed to news of Japan GPIF portfolio shifts
• Another wave of selling later, plunge to 158.21 EBS on rate check rumours
• Some bounce since but upside now seen limited, Asia so far 158.67-93
• $1.6 bln in option expiries today at 159.00 strike to help cap upside
• To downside, 158.00 $761 mln, total $1.7 bln between 157.00-85 too
• Technically, 200-DMA at 158.47 today briefly pierced, back above now
• This 200-DMA a likely pivot possibility going forward
• JGB-US Treasury rate differentials narrowing again, 2s around 253 bps
• JGB 10s up to 3.0% and resulting in shift in foreign investor thinking
• More hawkish BOJ stance helping, hike this month seen as almost a given
• BOJ Takata-speak yesterday suggested new dawn of sorts in timing of hikes
• Many players also reassessing JPY-funded carries
• Japanese importer buys to continue but exporters will help cap rallies
• Related comments , , , also
• US markets , , ,
• On US economy , , , US-Iran
• On BOJ Takata-speak , for more click on [FXBUZ]
USD/JPY daily:
USD/JPY hourly:
JGB-US Treasury 2-year interest rate differential:
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)