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• USD/JPY in stasis and back below 159.00, Jackson Hole, fresh news awaited
• Asia 158.68-159.00 EBS, follows 158.03-159.78 range last week
• Well below still ascending daily Ichimoku cloud between 159.64-161.64
• Between flattening 200-DMA below at 158.35, 100-DMA at 159.98 in cloud
• Also below now descending 100-HMA at 159.02, 200-HMA above at 159.15
• Tapering hourly Ichimoku cloud 158.72-88, maybe supportive?
• Few significant option expiries in area today
• Only 157.85/88 total $742 mln, $350 mln at 159.00 strike
• JGB-US Treasury rate differentials in stasis, 2s off recent lows @250 bps
• Differential in 10s up from recent lows some and @181 bps
• IMM CTA yen shorts up 10.8K contracts to 52,088, USD bought elsewhere too
• Japanese exporters likely to continue with sales, absorb any importer demand
• Jackson Hole Fed symposium later this week likely market highlight
• Central bank expectations to see shift? Middle East stand-off continues
• Of note tonight will be US TsySec Bessent's scheduled presser
• Related comments , , ,
• Also , on IMM CTAs , Middle East
• US markets , , ,
USD/JPY daily:
USD/JPY hourly:
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)