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• USD/JPY FX option implied volatility hit hard after BoJ press conference couldn't offset dovish hike disappointment
• FX options had been primed for excessive FX volatility which inflated short dated expiry implied volatility pre BoJ
• Funds were said to have been holding downside strike options looking for hawkish BoJ outcome
• Those options now being unwound and are fuelling the broader implied volatility sell-off
• 1-week USD/JPY implied vol hit 10.5-9.0 so far and the benchmark 1-month from 9.0 to 8.5
• Topside hedges still in play - 160.00 bought earlier this week and more since BoJ
• Intervention risk will increase if USD/JPY continues to
unwind the early Sep drop from 160.00 to 153.001-week and 1-month expiry USD/JPY FXO implied volatility
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(Richard Pace is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)