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Aug 14 - 09:55 PM

AUD/USD - Subdued After Rally Fades; Australia, China Data Thu Key

By Krishna K  —  Aug 14 - 09:15 PM
  • AUD/USD down 0.1% in Asia after closing 0.55% lower on Wed

  • Waning but still sticky US CPIdampens hopes of large Sep rate cut, weighs

  • Chances of a Fed 50-bps Sep cut at 38% from slightly above 50% on Wed

  • But 25-bps cut seen as almost certain, 103 bps of cuts priced in by end Dec

  • Diverging RBA-Fed rate expectations likely to limit Aus downside

  • Australia July employment report Thu unlikely to shake RBA's hawkish resolve

  • China monthly activity data key Wed as new signs of weakness emerge

  • Support 0.6575-80, 0.6550-55, resistance 0.6620, 0.6640-45

  • Wed range 0.6643-0.6595, Asia range 0.6600-0.6589

  • For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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