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Sep 15 - 02:55 PM

USD/CAD: Ready, Steady, Fade; What's The Trade? - Credit Suisse

By eFXdata  —  Sep 15 - 01:30 PM

Credit Suisse discusses USD/CAD outlook and likes selling the pair on a rally into 1.28.

"Our stance on CAD has been to look for a retracement in USDCAD above 1.2800, above which we said we would look to go tactically short again, aiming for a 1.2450: we do not see a reason to change approach for now. The view priced into markets that the BoC will taper asset purchases again to C$1bn/week at the 27 Oct decision still seems correct; similarly, while the most recent BoC meeting failed to excite, it also provided no new reasons to second-guess the currently priced-in rates outlook, with lift-off expected to take place in Q3 2022," CS notes. 

. The election, while in our view not terribly consequential for the broader CAD outlook, might nevertheless provide a catalyst for the retracement we’ve been looking for, as an example if the NDP were to perform better than expected. We stand ready to sell a spike in USDCAD to 1.2800, with a 1.2450 target and would add a stop loss to the position at 1.2950, just above the mid-Aug highs," CS add. 

Source:
Credit Suisse Research/Market Commentary

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